逸仙逻辑讲坛第三十三期预告｜刘洋：置信度、慎思与能动性：慎思会阻碍预测吗？

第三十三期  逸仙逻辑讲坛

题目：Credence, Deliberation, and Agency: Can Deliberation Crowd out Predication?

          置信度、慎思与能动性：慎思会阻碍预测吗？

主讲人：刘  洋  高等研究员  剑桥大学

主持人：任  远  教授  太阳集团tcy8722

评论人：刘海林  副教授  太阳集团tcy8722

时   间：5月7日（周三）下午 15:00

地   点：太阳集团tcy8722锡昌堂 322室

主办方：太阳集团tcy8722逻辑与认知研究所

主讲人简介 

       Dr. LIU Yang earned his PhD in philosophy under the supervision of Professor Haim Gaifman at Columbia University. Following his doctoral studies, he joined the Faculty of Philosophy at the University of Cambridge as a junior research fellow. Shortly after its establishment, he became a senior research fellow at the Cambridge-based Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence, which is dedicated to ensuring AI serves as a force for good. Later, he brought his research closer to home, joining The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (UST), where he was elected as a fellow of the Institute for Advanced Study. Dr. Liu’s research interests include logic, decision theory, and the philosophy of AI.

内容简介 

       There is a long-standing disagreement in the philosophy of probability and Bayesian decision theory about whether an agent can hold a meaningful credence about an upcoming action, while she deliberates about what to do. Can she believe that it is, say, 70% probable that she will do A, while she chooses whether to do A? No, say some philosophers, for Deliberation Crowds Out Prediction (DCOP), but others disagree. In this talk, I propose a valid core for DCOP, and identify terminological causes for some of the apparent disputes.